Synaptic refractory period provides a measure of probability of release in the hippocampus.

Hjelmstad GO, Nicoll RA, Malenka RC. Synaptic refractory period provides a measure of probability of release in the hippocampus. Neuron. 1997 Dec; 19(6):1309-18.

1997
http://profiles.ucsf.edu/profile/252745
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Hjelmstad GO, Nicoll RA, Malenka RC